It is sometimes a challenge to place a winning football bet. After all, there are so many decisions to be made. This is especially true about nice gamblers, who have no idea of what to keep their focus on. But with our guide, this should not be the issue. We have made a list of the key tips to follow.
1 — Know the Important Numbers
Do you believe that all points in a point spread are created equal? They aren’t. Because of football’s unique scoring system (six points for a touchdown, three points for a field goal), there are particular statistics in football point spreads that you must be aware of at all times.
Because 3 and 7 are the two most typical margins of victory in the NFL, they are the most important “key numbers” in online betting IPL. Despite the fact that the two-point conversion has lowered the amount of games decided by a field goal or a converted touchdown, around 30% of football games conclude with a differential of a score of 3 or 7.
What is the significance of this? Because you want to be as close to the “right side” of these important numbers as possible. There’s a big difference between getting the favorite at -2.5 and -3.5 (if it’s a late tie game, if the favorite hits a field goal, you’ll win your -2.5 bet, but you’ll lose if you have -3.5). And, while an underdog may appear to be a decent bet at +7.5, most pros would pass if the best number available was +6.5.
Other important numbers in football betting are 10, 6, 4, and 14. Those are the other most common margins of victory in the NFL during the last 15 years, in order. They aren’t as prevalent as 3 and 7, but they should be avoided.
2 — Get the Highest Possible Number
On a point spread, every point counts. So you should know how to bet on football matches. While the points surrounding crucial numbers (e.g., +3.5 instead of +2.5 and -6.5 instead of -7.5) are the most significant, there will be instances when obtaining +5 instead of +6 is the difference between winning and pushing your gamble or pushing your stake and losing.
Those moments might potentially be the difference between winning or losing money during football season. Do you think we’re exaggerating? This is why:
- If your betting point spreads at -110 odds, you’ll need to win 52.38% of your bets to break even.
- If you place 100 football bets in a season, winning two additional bets by getting the best possible number may flip a losing 52% season into a winning 56% season!
So, how can you obtain the greatest odds on your football bets? Check the two options below.
3 — Search for the Best Odds
Point spreads, Over/Under totals, and other odds frequently differ depending on the sports betting site. That’s why it is strongly recommended to check the betting lines at as many sites as possible and bet the best amount you can find. Even a small detail in the odds can cost you too much. So if you want to get the max value out of your bets, keep the odds on your radar.
4 — Choose the Best Time to Place Your Bets
The best odds on favorites and Overs are generally available early in the week, whereas the best Unders and odds on underdogs are usually available immediately before kickoff. This is because the betting audience prefers to wait until the day of the games to put their bets, and the majority of their action is on favorites and Overs, which drives up those lines.
It is a good habit to keep an eye on the betting lines throughout the week to see which direction they are heading. If the odds on the wager you want to place are improving, attempt to wait as long as possible to see how much more value you can gain. If the lines are moving against you, place your bet as soon as possible before any value on your wager is lost.
5 — Don’t Overestimate Last Week’s Results
One of the most common mistakes new football bettors make is basing their wagers on previous week’s outcomes. Assume the Patriots are hosting the Browns this week. Based on last week’s game, in which the Patriots defeated the Dolphins by 20 points and the Browns were defeated by the Seahawks by 20, the Patriots should easily defeat the Browns. However, there are two major issues with this line of thought.
Instead of focusing just on last week’s outcomes, consider each team’s full-season statistics and previous history versus each other. This will provide you with a far better feel of what to expect than merely rating teams based on a small sample size of their recent game.
Make Your Bets Work for You
It is not necessary to be a seasoned bettor in order to make money with football bets. Follow the above tricks, and you will be able to monetize your hobby.